PERBANDINGAN ESTIMASI VOLATILITAS HARGA OPSI BELI SAHAM APPLE INC. (AAPL) DENGAN METODE BISECTION DAN SECANT

Abstract

Stock price volatility is a measure of how far a stock price moves in a given 

Stock price volatility is a measure of how far a stock price moves in a given time. The theory developed by Black-Scholes states that every option price with the same 'underlying asset' and the same time to maturity but with different exercise values will have the same Implied Volatility value. However, this is not always the case in the market. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate volatility known as Implied Volatility, which is considered an appropriate method in estimating volatility values. This study compares the Bisection and Secant methods to estimate the volatility of Apple Inc. (Aapl) stock. This study uses data on the closing price of the stock in the period September 29, 2022 to September 29, 2023. Volatility estimation for the Bisection and Secant methods by determining the initial approximation and limiting it to a maximum of 100 simulations and iteration stops if it has produced a relative error smaller than  = . The  is an error tolerance limit, the smaller the error tolerance, the more accurate it is. According to the research results, the Bisection method produces an estimated volatility value of 0.498212 at the 9th iteration, while the Secant method produces an estimated value of 0.498590 at the 10th iteration. The Secant method produces a smaller relative error value of 0.000096, indicating that the Secant method is more accurate than the Bisection method.